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The nuclear-critical medical organization IPPNW accuses the World Health Organization (WHO) of downplaying the number of cancer cases due to the Fukushima nuclear disaster. Rather, the "number of cancer cases in many parts of Japan would increase", according to an IPPNW study. The WHO had spoken partly of the all-clear in its own statement.
On the second anniversary of the nuclear disaster in Japan on March 11, 2011, the nuclear-critical medical organization IPPNW presented a quantitative assessment of the "health effects of Fukushima". The report documents worrying findings that are already visible just two years after the super meltdown. The Nuremberg scientist Dr. Alfred Körblein found a significant drop in births across Japan exactly 9 months after Fukushima.
Of 4,362 missing births in December 2011, only 209 were in Fukushima Prefecture. Increased infant mortality among other things “Exactly” nine months after the catastrophe started is a further indication of how much this country as a whole and by no means only the Fukushima Prefecture have been affected by this nuclear accident. The latest figures on thyroid cysts and nodules in more than 55,000 children in Fukushima Prefecture alone are particularly frightening - and this is only one of 47 Japanese prefectures of these densely populated islands, through which around 20 percent of the radionuclides released into the atmosphere fell (approx 80% of the atmospheric releases contaminated the sea). In contrast to adults, such thyroid changes in children can be seen as "precancerous stages", says the former chief physician of the Herford Children's Clinic, Dr. Winfrid Eisenberg, one of the authors of the IPPNW study. The medical organization therefore strongly recommends that systematic thyroid examinations be carried out on children all over Japan.
Forecasts of the cancer can be expected due to the significantly increased "background radiation" in Japan as well as due to the consumption of radioactive contaminated foods are fraught with uncertainty.
The medical organization carried out its own research
The medical organization IPPNW nevertheless considered it necessary to give the world public an approximation of the dimension of this nuclear disaster, at least based on the data available to date. Based on publications in scientific journals on soil contamination with radioactive cesium or based on measurements of local dose rates in autumn 2012, the IPPNW authors Henrik Paulitz, Dr. Winfrid Eisenberg and Reinhold Thiel in three alternative estimates of around 20,000 to 40,000 cancers due to the "external radiation exposure" in Japan. These figures are obtained if one calculates the risk factor of 0.1 / Sv, which the World Health Organization WHO has now adopted. However, according to recent scientific findings, one has to assume that the risk is twice as high and therefore up to 80,000 cancers due to the external radiation exposure.
A good 133,000 measurement results published by the Japanese Ministry of Health were used to estimate the expected cancers due to contaminated foodstuffs, of which only a good 17,000 data were actually published as concrete measurement values. According to the IPPNW, conservative assumptions result in around 18,000 and 37,000 cancer cases according to the current state of science.
For the workers who, according to the operating company Tepco, worked in the damaged nuclear facility in 2011, there is no data that can be evaluated in any way. Based on the experience after Chernobyl, the IPPNW expects more than 17,000 serious cases of illness.
The results of the IPPNW report clearly contradict the Fukushima report "Health risk assessment", which was presented by the World Health Organization on February 28. IPPNW member Dr. In an analysis, Alex Rosen points out that the WHO assumes incorrect assumptions and only looked at selected areas in Fukushima Prefecture.
WHO: Outside of Fukushima, there is little risk
The WHO had spoken of an "increased cancer risk" only for the most radioactive contaminated areas in the vicinity of Fukushima. For the rest of Japan, its "no increased rates of new cancer can be expected," said the director of public health and the environment. "The WHO report wants to downplay the consequences," believes the medical association. Rather, the nuclear disaster in Japan could cost the lives of up to 120,000 people because they contract cancer. There are also around 18,000 workers and firefighters who were directly involved in the cleanup. "Japan is therefore affected on a large scale," concludes the doctor Henrik Paulitz from the IPPNW. (sb with material from IPPNW)
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